# ARKInvest/ARK-Invest-Tesla-Valuation-Model

An excerpt from our financial valuation model of Tesla

Repository: https://github.com/ARKInvest/ARK-Invest-Tesla-Valuation-Model
Canonical: https://ross.abutalabs.com/products/ark-invest-tesla-valuation-model
License Family: other
Last push: 2024-06-12T12:50:23+00:00

## Health v2 (maintenance only)
Score: 32/100 (v2, computed 2026-09-03T02:20:16.233290+00:00)
- activity 0, release rhythm 35, longevity 100
- inputs: {"age_days": 2660, "days_push": 812, "days_rel": null, "gap_med": null, "n_releases_24m": 0}
- flags: no_releases, no_license
- formula: round(0.45*activity + 0.35*rhythm + 0.20*longevity); archived -> min(score, 10)

## Adoption (not part of the score)
Stars 1197, forks 147 (observed 2026-08-28T04:03:57.494359+00:00)

## What it is
An extract of ARK Invest's Tesla 2029 price target valuation model, distributed as a spreadsheet with Monte Carlo simulation worksheets. Users can adjust key drivers and inputs to produce their own fundamental valuation and probabilistic bull/bear price targets.

## Use cases
- run a monte carlo valuation of Tesla stock
- adjust ARK's Tesla price target assumptions with my own inputs
- explore bull and bear case scenarios for Tesla's 2029 valuation
- model robotaxi adoption and vehicle ASP impacts on Tesla's value
- reproduce ARK Invest's published Tesla price target model
- teach probabilistic equity valuation with a real-world example

## When to choose
- you want to inspect or modify ARK's published Tesla valuation assumptions
- you need a spreadsheet-based Monte Carlo valuation template for equity price targets
- you're researching ARK's Tesla bull/bear case methodology

## When to avoid
- you need a programmable or API-driven financial modeling library
- you expect the model to be updated with current market data
- you need a general-purpose valuation tool for companies other than Tesla

## Facets
- artifact type: dataset
- maturity: maintenance
- function: simulation, data-science
- domain: fintech, data-science, analytics
- platform: cross-platform
- tags: financial-model, valuation, monte-carlo, tesla, spreadsheet, excel, equity-research

## Member repositories
- ARKInvest/ARK-Invest-Tesla-Valuation-Model (main) score 32

## Provenance
- Observed fields: from GitHub, fetched 2026-08-28T04:03:57.494359+00:00.
- Health v2: computed from the inputs above; adoption is never an input.
- Inferred fields (summary, facets, guidance): AI-extracted, prompt v1, taxonomy v1, on 2026-08-30T06:21:12.747968+00:00, confidence not recorded.
  - readme: https://github.com/ARKInvest/ARK-Invest-Tesla-Valuation-Model (fetched 2026-08-28T04:03:57.494359+00:00, sha 4489a5471d11)
- Data as of 2026-08-30T08:39:29.467469+00:00.